Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 4.714348 5.291031 5.919710 6.657439 7.501284 8.438526 9.561302
2025-01-19 3.658664 4.375705 5.215752 6.277831 7.592200 9.174895 11.239236
2025-01-26 3.167991 3.974447 4.972254 6.308401 8.067076 10.325463 13.481556
2025-02-02 2.890705 3.771885 4.912472 6.515109 8.737794 11.754348 16.231909
2025-02-09 2.648303 3.571735 4.813524 6.631671 9.269880 13.027886 18.912376
2025-02-16 2.442532 3.390647 4.709036 6.710957 9.735630 14.236594 21.637550
2025-02-23 2.269153 3.232427 4.612837 6.779355 10.176003 15.438668 24.496410
2025-03-02 2.053993 2.990590 4.367523 6.590536 10.188614 15.962428 26.306576
2025-03-09 1.896624 2.818968 4.208145 6.512120 10.356983 16.739619 28.630858
2025-03-16 1.756544 2.660687 4.053157 6.420996 10.486840 17.455095 30.928725
2025-03-23 1.707675 2.639700 4.109936 6.678473 11.228176 19.303424 35.573233
2025-03-30 1.609710 2.531482 4.015508 6.668798 11.496188 20.328557 38.776703
2025-04-06 1.508123 2.412072 3.896867 6.612887 11.687692 21.259285 41.991840
2025-04-13 1.359953 2.204464 3.613968 6.239893 11.252667 20.943009 42.565496
2025-04-20 1.294411 2.132069 3.557108 6.271025 11.587689 22.177820 46.683555
2025-04-27 1.262053 2.114096 3.593152 6.476505 12.283506 24.228751 52.983201
2025-05-04 1.218421 2.072697 3.583325 6.592317 12.809789 25.989684 58.918413
2025-05-11 1.172840 2.024278 3.556388 6.671077 13.266179 27.655542 64.923176
2025-05-18 1.129208 1.976167 3.525921 6.739014 13.705424 29.338049 71.282967
2025-05-25 1.056670 1.869607 3.376970 6.551468 13.565766 29.665731 74.120772
2025-06-01 1.003185 1.795399 3.284849 6.473579 13.661378 30.559548 78.667661
2025-06-08 0.952185 1.722731 3.190683 6.383066 13.718164 31.365427 83.120129
2025-06-15 0.942885 1.729851 3.254738 6.638814 14.609980 34.374536 94.648738